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--- larry_maccherone_-_how_long_will_it_take [2015/08/20 07:22] – external edit 127.0.0.1
+++ larry_maccherone_-_how_long_will_it_take [2020/06/02 14:22] (current) – external edit 127.0.0.1
@@ Line 1: / Line 1: @@
-Title: LarryMaccherone-HowLongWillItTake Timestamp: 2015-08-05 21:00:45 +0000 Created: 2015-08-03 15:57:57 +0000 Last Accessed: 2015-08-03 15:57:57 +0000 Times Accessed: 0 Tags: Metadata: gpslongitude=-77.018348,gpslatitude=38.781071 # Premise
+====== Larry Maccherone - How Long Will It Take ======
+====== Premise ======
 You know "collaboration over contract negotiation", right? Metrics often drive a wedge between management/stakeholders and the team, none more so than forecasting metrics. However, when you give a probability distribution as the answer to the question, "How long will it take?" instead of a single date, an amazing transformation happens. Suddenly, the team and management/stakeholders start collaborating to manage tradeoffs and risk. So, how do you generate a probabilistic forecast?
@@ Line 16: / Line 18: @@
 ====== Action / Learning ======
-  * Wednesday pitch
+  * Todd Olsen - "build the right thing" problem / metrics - [[http://www.agileconnection.com/article/five-ways-build-right-thing|See "Todd Olsen - "build the right thing" problem" blog post]]
-  * agilecraft
-  * Todd Olsen - "build the right thing" problem / metrics
 ====== Presentation ======
+{{:larry-maccherone-probabilistic-decision-making.pdf|}}
 @lmaccherone AgileCraft
@@ Line 115: / Line 117: @@
 Look at agilecraft - Portfolio and project tool over alter alternates
+{{tag>Estimation Forecast Conference Planning}}